Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.004518 0.004759 0.005007 0.005281 0.005577 0.005887 0.006236
2025-09-14 0.004044 0.004393 0.004767 0.005201 0.005692 0.006232 0.006875
2025-09-21 0.003795 0.004207 0.004664 0.005209 0.005848 0.006577 0.007480
2025-09-28 0.003501 0.003940 0.004436 0.005042 0.005770 0.006625 0.007717
2025-10-05 0.003348 0.003819 0.004361 0.005038 0.005871 0.006875 0.008197
2025-10-12 0.003267 0.003773 0.004367 0.005124 0.006077 0.007254 0.008852
2025-10-19 0.003134 0.003656 0.004278 0.005084 0.006117 0.007423 0.009239
2025-10-26 0.003021 0.003557 0.004204 0.005055 0.006165 0.007597 0.009638
2025-11-02 0.002915 0.003461 0.004128 0.005017 0.006196 0.007746 0.010006
2025-11-09 0.002874 0.003443 0.004147 0.005101 0.006389 0.008118 0.010704
2025-11-16 0.002791 0.003369 0.004091 0.005081 0.006438 0.008292 0.011126
2025-11-23 0.002713 0.003296 0.004032 0.005054 0.006475 0.008449 0.011528
2025-11-30 0.002621 0.003205 0.003948 0.004989 0.006457 0.008527 0.011821
2025-12-07 0.002533 0.003114 0.003860 0.004917 0.006425 0.008582 0.012080
2025-12-14 0.002480 0.003069 0.003832 0.004925 0.006506 0.008805 0.012616
2025-12-21 0.002370 0.002944 0.003692 0.004770 0.006342 0.008654 0.012535
2025-12-28 0.002322 0.002900 0.003660 0.004767 0.006401 0.008840 0.013020
2026-01-04 0.002306 0.002899 0.003686 0.004846 0.006584 0.009227 0.013868
2026-01-11 0.002250 0.002842 0.003633 0.004809 0.006589 0.009333 0.014237
2026-01-18 0.002201 0.002792 0.003589 0.004782 0.006608 0.009460 0.014651
2026-01-25 0.002152 0.002741 0.003540 0.004747 0.006612 0.009562 0.015027
2026-02-01 0.002141 0.002743 0.003567 0.004825 0.006795 0.009968 0.015992
2026-02-08 0.002100 0.002703 0.003531 0.004806 0.006824 0.010116 0.016480